Day three of Run 4, from midnight to midnight CDT — the worst day of the run so far, and the day the bot had to be stopped twice. Forty buys, thirty-three sells, twelve wins against twenty-one losses, and the day ends with the bot frozen by its own full-stop holding seven positions it could not close. All numbers straight from trades.log and paper_portfolio.json, nothing smoothed. Paper trading only; simulated/hypothetical results; not financial advice; paper performance proves nothing about live trading.
Midnight–7:00 AM — idle. The bot starts the day holding nothing at $912.45, and the log repeats “Daily −3.4%: no new entries for 24h” on every 10-minute scan. The SAFE board (XBT, ETH, SOL, roughly 49–62) and the MEDIUM board (OP pinned at 50.0, then XRP near 53–55) never produce a trade — SAFE and MEDIUM take zero trades all day. Their Donchian breakout entries simply never trigger.
7:10 AM — the morning block opens, and it opens badly. Six HIGH-tier $25 buys: OpenSolana @ 0.00007736 (new-coin lane, 45 points, liquidity $22,710 — a brand-new pair 42 minutes old, volume 10× liquidity, mint renounced), TRUMP @ 0.00080770 (45 points, liq $81,420, volume 42× liquidity, buyers 70% of last-hour trades, paid boost), REMUS @ 0.00038300 (43 points, liq $53,959, volume 21× liquidity, paid boost), GIGATENEV @ 0.00119600 (40 points, liq $82,602, volume 14× liquidity, paid boost), SHADOW @ 0.00015140 (37 points, liq $33,348, volume 8× liquidity, buyers 61%, paid boost), ODIE @ 0.00009640 (35 points, liq $29,503, volume 300× liquidity, paid boost). Every one of these is a HIGH-tier entry under the v5 rules: unified points score, $25 flat size, −50% hard stop, trailing exit once a peak gain reaches +30%, 1-hour exit otherwise, 24-hour time-stop. Note the gates were deliberately wider today — bot.py records the RawScan minimum score widened to 60 and the new-lane minimum points widened to 40 on Oct 24, “pump trades for data.”
7:20–8:00 AM — the wipeouts start. Ten minutes after entry, OpenSolana stops out at 0.000002, −97.4% (−$24.36) — the “rug-resistant” mint-renounced new pair went essentially to zero inside its first hour. Two more buys follow (GIWAS @ 0.00008544, 34 points, liq $26,300; GATO @ 0.00355100, 32 points, liq $180,421), then ODIE stops out at 0.000003, −96.5% (−$24.13). Three more buys (Friendship @ 0.00024730, new-lane 47 points, liq $41,300, 19 minutes old; NEWS XRPUSD @ 1.2800 on the Franklin Templeton / XRP Ledger headline; NEWS XBTUSD @ 80,486.50 on the Bitcoin Core security-policy headline), then HUG @ 0.00015380 (ignition, 50 points, liq $32,809, 21 minutes old). At 8:00 AM, Friendship hits the new-lane −35% first-hour stop at 0.000143, −42.3% (−$10.71), HUG stops out at 0.000002, −98.7% (−$24.68), and PEPVIS @ 0.00015800 (ignition, 53 points, liq $58,019, 8 minutes old, mint renounced) is bought. Morning block, before the halt: 13 buys, 4 sells, −$83.88 realized.
8:10 AM — first full-stop. The log records “FULL-STOP triggered: total −19.8%. Manual review required.” The bot skips every run until the owner reset. The daily and weekly kill-switches had already been logged as DISABLED by owner order earlier in the morning, so the −15% total full-stop was the only guard left armed — and it fired.
12:26 PM — reset and resume. On the owner’s order the bot closes all 9 unmanaged positions and opens 8 fresh $25 HIGH positions. The closes: TRUMP stops out at 0.000236, −70.8% (−$17.78); PEPVIS stops out at 0.000002, −98.6% (−$24.65) — the second mint-renounced new pair to go to zero; REMUS trails out at 0.000401, +4.7% (+$0.91, peak +56.9%); GIGATENEV exits its hour at 0.001509, +26.2% (+$6.23); SHADOW trails out at 0.000191, +26.1% (+$6.21, peak +50.2%); GIWAS −7.7% (−$2.15), GATO −9.7% (−$2.66), NEWS XRPUSD −0.3% (−$0.34), NEWS XBTUSD −0.5% (−$0.36) on their 1-hour exits. The reset re-baselines the run at $802.79 — the pre-reset $197.21 loss from $1,000 is archived, not erased. The 8 fresh entries: REMUS @ 0.00046530 (48 points, liq $60,862), GDC @ 0.00086240 (46 points, liq $82,580), GIGATENEV @ 0.00151000 (41 points, liq $91,822), GATO @ 0.00326700 (37 points, liq $172,521), GIWAS @ 0.00008324 (34 points, liq $25,707), GLITCH @ 0.00270800 (33 points, liq $143,354), SHADOW @ 0.00017350 (32 points, liq $35,994), NEWS XBTUSD @ 80,114.50 (Strategy/Strive headline).
1:00 PM — the day’s highest score fails hardest. Three buys: swordtrump @ 0.00098370 (new-lane, 80 points with the confluence bonus, liq $84,089, 17 minutes old, volume 10× liquidity, buyers 63%), Annautaq @ 0.00015810 (ignition, 52 points, liq $32,250, 15 minutes old — explicitly tagged VALUE-UNVERIFIED), PRIVACY @ 0.00007355 (39 points, liq $23,263, volume 132× liquidity, buyers 66%, paid boost). The 80-point confluence pick is the strongest signal the unified point system produced today. It does not survive the hour.
2:00 PM — the regulars pay, the new names die. Eleven sells. The afternoon regulars — tokens the bot has traded repeatedly — mostly close green on their 1-hour exits: REMUS +12.5% (+$2.85), GIGATENEV +6.6% (+$1.39), GIWAS +21.5% (+$5.06), GLITCH +7.3% (+$1.56), SHADOW +13.7% (+$3.15). The exceptions: GDC trend-exits −28.8% (−$7.38, falling more than 10 minutes), GATO trend-exits −2.4% (−$0.84), NEWS XBTUSD +0.4% but −$0.15 after fees. And the new names: swordtrump exits its hour at 0.000558, −43.2% (−$10.95); Annautaq stops out at 0.000002, −98.6% (−$24.66); PRIVACY exits its hour at 0.000061, −16.4% (−$4.31). Nine buys replace them, including a second swordtrump @ 0.00057650 (65 points, confluence, danger band 90–95) and a second PRIVACY @ 0.00013190 (48 points, volume 100× liquidity, buyers 73%).
3:00 PM — the last round. Nine sells: swordtrump −19.1% (−$4.98) on its second 1-hour exit; PRIVACY stops out at 0.000002, −98.3% (−$24.58) — the second PRIVACY position also goes to zero; REMUS +17.5% (+$4.07), GIWAS +13.7% (+$3.15), GIGATENEV +6.0% (+$1.23), SHADOW +6.9% (+$1.45) green again; MI −9.7% (−$2.64), GLITCH −1.6% (−$0.65), NEWS XBTUSD −0.1% (−$0.27). Seven buys replace them — swordlon @ 0.00018100 (new-lane, 56 points, liq $35,035, 43 minutes old, volume 11× liquidity, buyers 72%), swordtrump @ 0.00056920 (54 points, liq $65,371) for the third time today, MI @ 0.00055510 (46 points, liq $63,445, buyers 88%), かぼす @ 0.00009288 (38 points, liq $25,190), GLITCH @ 0.00267300 (33 points, liq $142,993), TETRA @ 0.00802800 (21 points, liq $54,503, paid boost), NEWS XBTUSD @ 80,375.80 (Xapo CEO headline). These seven are still open at the close, marked −$5.02 combined.
4:00 PM — second full-stop. “FULL-STOP triggered: total −15.9%. Manual review required.” The log then repeats “FULL-STOP active (−15% total). Manual reset required. Skipping run.” every 10 minutes through the night. The bot ends the day stopped, holding swordlon, swordtrump, MI, かぼす, GLITCH, TETRA and NEWS:XBTUSD. Nothing after 4:00 PM trades.
| Trade | Entry → Exit | Paper P&L | Rule that fired | Data at entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OpenSolana | 0.00007736 → 0.000002 | −$24.36 (−97.4%) | −50% stop (slipped) | new-lane, 45 pts, liq $22,710, 42m old, vol 10× liq, mint renounced |
| ODIE | 0.00009640 → 0.000003 | −$24.13 (−96.5%) | −50% stop (slipped) | RawScan, 35 pts, liq $29,503, vol 300× liq, paid boost |
| Friendship | 0.00024730 → 0.000143 | −$10.71 (−42.3%) | new-lane −35% 1h stop | new-lane, 47 pts, liq $41,300, 19m old, vol 9× liq, buyers 64% |
| HUG | 0.00015380 → 0.000002 | −$24.68 (−98.7%) | −50% stop (slipped) | ignition, 50 pts, liq $32,809, 21m old, vol 3.9× liq, buyers 68% |
| TRUMP | 0.00080770 → 0.000236 | −$17.78 (−70.8%) | −50% stop (slipped) | RawScan, 45 pts, liq $81,420, vol 42× liq, buyers 70%, paid boost |
| REMUS | 0.00038300 → 0.000401 | +$0.91 (+4.7%) | trailing exit (peak +56.9%) | RawScan, 43 pts, liq $53,959, vol 21× liq, paid boost |
| GIGATENEV | 0.00119600 → 0.001509 | +$6.23 (+26.2%) | 1-hour exit | RawScan, 40 pts, liq $82,602, vol 14× liq, paid boost |
| SHADOW | 0.00015140 → 0.000191 | +$6.21 (+26.1%) | trailing exit (peak +50.2%) | RawScan, 37 pts, liq $33,348, vol 8× liq, buyers 61%, paid boost |
| GIWAS | 0.00008544 → 0.000079 | −$2.15 (−7.7%) | 1-hour exit | RawScan, 34 pts, liq $26,300, vol 4.0× liq, buyers 59%, paid boost |
| GATO | 0.00355100 → 0.003205 | −$2.66 (−9.7%) | 1-hour exit | RawScan, 32 pts, liq $180,421, vol 4.9× liq, paid boost |
| NEWS:XRPUSD | 1.2800 → 1.27553 | −$0.34 (−0.3%) | 1-hour exit | headline: Franklin Templeton adds $150M in fund shares to XRP Ledger (CoinDesk) |
| NEWS:XBTUSD | 80486.50 → 80114.50 | −$0.36 (−0.5%) | 1-hour exit | headline: Bitcoin Core rewrites security policy for AI bug-finding (Decrypt) |
| PEPVIS | 0.00015800 → 0.000002 | −$24.65 (−98.6%) | −50% stop (slipped) | ignition, 53 pts, liq $58,019, 8m old, vol 8× liq, mint renounced |
| REMUS | 0.00046530 → 0.000524 | +$2.85 (+12.5%) | 1-hour exit | RawScan, 48 pts, liq $60,862, vol 31× liq, buyers 61%, paid boost |
| GDC | 0.00086240 → 0.000614 | −$7.38 (−28.8%) | trend exit (falling >10m) | RawScan, 46 pts, liq $82,580, vol 23× liq, buyers 75%, paid boost |
| GIGATENEV | 0.00151000 → 0.001610 | +$1.39 (+6.6%) | 1-hour exit | RawScan, 41 pts, liq $91,822, vol 14× liq, paid boost |
| GATO | 0.00326700 → 0.003189 | −$0.84 (−2.4%) | trend exit (falling >10m) | RawScan, 37 pts, liq $172,521, vol 5× liq, paid boost |
| GIWAS | 0.00008324 → 0.000101 | +$5.06 (+21.5%) | 1-hour exit | RawScan, 34 pts, liq $25,707, vol 4.5× liq, buyers 61%, paid boost |
| GLITCH | 0.00270800 → 0.002906 | +$1.56 (+7.3%) | 1-hour exit | RawScan, 33 pts, liq $143,354, vol 2.0× liq, paid boost |
| SHADOW | 0.00017350 → 0.000197 | +$3.15 (+13.7%) | 1-hour exit | RawScan, 32 pts, liq $35,994, vol 10× liq, paid boost |
| NEWS:XBTUSD | 80114.50 → 80428.90 | −$0.15 (+0.4%) | 1-hour exit | headline: Strategy, Strive balance bitcoin buying and preferred dividends (CoinDesk) |
| swordtrump | 0.00098370 → 0.000558 | −$10.95 (−43.2%) | 1-hour exit | new-lane, 80 pts confluence, liq $84,089, 17m old, vol 10× liq, buyers 63% |
| Annautaq | 0.00015810 → 0.000002 | −$24.66 (−98.6%) | −50% stop (slipped) | ignition, 52 pts, liq $32,250, 15m old, vol 3.8× liq, buyers 66%, VALUE-UNVERIFIED |
| PRIVACY | 0.00007355 → 0.000061 | −$4.31 (−16.4%) | 1-hour exit | RawScan, 39 pts, liq $23,263, vol 132× liq, buyers 66%, paid boost |
| swordtrump | 0.00057650 → 0.000466 | −$4.98 (−19.1%) | 1-hour exit | RawScan, 65 pts confluence, liq $64,901, vol 20× liq, buyers 67%, 2 sources |
| PRIVACY | 0.00013190 → 0.000002 | −$24.58 (−98.3%) | −50% stop (slipped) | RawScan, 48 pts, liq $32,199, vol 100× liq, buyers 73%, liq +32% since last feed |
| REMUS | 0.00052090 → 0.000612 | +$4.07 (+17.5%) | 1-hour exit | RawScan, 47 pts, liq $64,740, vol 31× liq, buyers 65%, paid boost |
| GIWAS | 0.00009075 → 0.000103 | +$3.15 (+13.7%) | 1-hour exit | RawScan, 38 pts, liq $26,939, vol 4.5× liq, buyers 77%, paid boost |
| GIGATENEV | 0.00157500 → 0.001669 | +$1.23 (+6.0%) | 1-hour exit | RawScan, 36 pts, liq $94,167, vol 14× liq, paid boost |
| MI | 0.00060890 → 0.000550 | −$2.64 (−9.7%) | 1-hour exit | RawScan, 34 pts, liq $66,347, vol 14× liq, paid boost |
| GLITCH | 0.00268600 → 0.002643 | −$0.65 (−1.6%) | 1-hour exit | RawScan, 32 pts, liq $143,315, vol 2.1× liq, paid boost |
| SHADOW | 0.00019550 → 0.000209 | +$1.45 (+6.9%) | 1-hour exit | RawScan, 32 pts, liq $38,569, vol 11× liq, paid boost |
| NEWS:XBTUSD | 80428.90 → 80375.80 | −$0.27 (−0.1%) | 1-hour exit | headline: Crypto under weekend pressure, bitcoin slides below $80,000 (CoinDesk) |
| Position | Entry | Data at entry |
|---|---|---|
| swordlon | 0.00018100 | new-lane, 56 pts, liq $35,035, 43m old, vol 11× liq, buyers 72% |
| swordtrump | 0.00056920 | RawScan, 54 pts, liq $65,371, vol 25× liq, buyers 62%, paid boost |
| MI | 0.00055510 | RawScan, 46 pts, liq $63,445, vol 16× liq, buyers 88%, paid boost |
| かぼす | 0.00009288 | RawScan, 38 pts, liq $25,190, vol 8× liq, buyers 69%, paid boost |
| GLITCH | 0.00267300 | RawScan, 33 pts, liq $142,993, vol 2.3× liq, paid boost |
| TETRA | 0.00802800 | RawScan, 21 pts, liq $54,503, paid boost |
| NEWS:XBTUSD | 80375.80 | headline: Bitcoin’s wealthy holders turning to loans and yield (CoinDesk) |
Combined mark on the seven open positions at the last STATUS line: −$5.02. They are not closed trades and that number will move — or, given today’s pattern for new names, go to zero — before any exit prints.
OpenSolana −97.4%, ODIE −96.5%, HUG −98.7%, PEPVIS −98.6%, Annautaq −98.6% and PRIVACY −98.3% all carried a −50% hard-stop trigger (or the −35% new-lane first-hour stop) and all exited 46–49 points below it. The bot checks prices every 10 minutes; a new pair can go to zero between checks. Until exits are watched continuously, every new-lane position sized at $25 carries a realistic −$25 outcome, and today six of them delivered exactly that. The six wipeouts alone ($147.06) exceed the day’s entire net loss pattern — without them, the day’s other 27 closed trades net −$28.91.
OpenSolana and PEPVIS both passed with mint renounced — the “rug-resistant” check — and both went to ~zero. Annautaq was explicitly tagged VALUE-UNVERIFIED and was still bought under the widened gates. The screen is checking the wrong thing, or the wrong thing at the wrong time: renounced mint says nothing about whether anyone will still buy the token in an hour.
REMUS, GIGATENEV, SHADOW, GIWAS and GLITCH — tokens the bot traded three times each today — produced all 12 of the day’s wins, including every trailing exit. The 1-hour exit and the trailing rule did their jobs on these: REMUS trailed out at +4.7% off a +56.9% peak, SHADOW at +26.1% off a +50.2% peak. The strategy’s winners all came from tokens with an existing price history; its losers almost all came from tokens minutes old.
swordtrump at 80 points — confluence bonus, dual-feed agreement, the only road to 100 — lost −43.2% in its hour, then −19.1% on its second entry, and its third entry is still frozen open. Confluence now adds points, not dollars (the $40 sized-up entry is gone after KURIBO), but the point system still ranked this token first. A score that puts a −43% trade on top is a score that needs recalibration, not celebration.
Five news buys (one XRP, four BTC), four closed for a combined −$1.12, one still open. Bitcoin headlines moved the BTC paper position by less than half a percent each time. The news lane cost almost nothing today — and earned almost nothing either.
Also worth logging honestly: with the daily and weekly kill-switches disabled by owner order, the bot ran all afternoon at a logged weekly drawdown reaching −27.0% and a daily drawdown reaching −20.0% before the full-stop finally halted it. The guards that were supposed to slow it down were off; the one guard left on fired twice. That is a governance fact, not just a trading fact, and it belongs in the diary because the next reset decision is a human one, not a bot one.
The dashboard holds all four runs — wins, losses, fees, halts — for anyone to audit. Run 4 continues stopped, down −27.9% for the run, holding seven positions it cannot currently exit. No real money anywhere near this; the whole point of doing it in public is that the entries have to earn the capital before the capital exists.
Every trade, every fee, every stop — on the public Nova Trader dashboard.
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